Collaborative Risk Informed Decision Analysis (CRIDA)

How do we make better informed decisions in water management under future uncertainty? How can we mainstream robust, flexible approaches? And finally, how can we institutionalize these methods into consistent, replicable, and accessible outcomes?

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Collaborative Risk Informed Decision Analysis | CRIDA

Now under development for publication in the first quarter of 2017, CRIDA provides stepwise planning guidance for water resources planners, managers, and engineers to implement robust water management as promoted by the AGWA network — particularly for water managers working in the developing world. CRIDA will initially launch as a publication, and support a community of practice to rapidly scale up implementation.

The AGWA network seeks to support a paradigm shift in water resources planning and decision making around from what we don’t know about the future to what we know now.

Climatic, demographic, economic, and ecological variability and trends — future uncertainties — are difficult to predict, prioritize and act upon. That’s why bottom-up approaches for vulnerability assessment and robust and flexible decision making are emerging. CRIDA is an approach that implements decision scaling and bottom-up vulnerability approaches through collaborative stepwise planning procedures and Adaptation Pathways. CRIDA aims at easy assimilation in the diverse decision-making processes in water management found across the world. It addresses the urgent need to better tailor decision-making under uncertainty to the practice of water management and to improve the capacity of stakeholders, decision makers, and technical water staff together.

CRIDA is specifically designed to support technical staff, stakeholders, and decision makers in implementing effective decisions under conditions of deep uncertainty. The scope is for practitioners working on site specific problem solving, such as water shortages and drought at a specific geographical locations in developing and highly vulnerable regions of the world. CRIDA is intended to serve as a framework to be modified for the needs of individual organizations or plans.

The table of contents will track the globally standardized planning cycle diagram shown here, illustrating the technical techniques and analysis. The document will also contain extended case studies where the methods have been applied in order to highlight the different points of the planning cycle, provide keys for success, and to include institutional and data limitations.

CRIDA has been featured in the recent publication Water Monographies: Water and Sustainable Development in a chapter on "Designing for Climate Confidence: Moving Beyond Uncertainty in Sustainable Water Management." A Spanish version is available here.

A downloadable
PDF Pamphlet about CRIDA is available here.

Millennium Challenge Corporation has produced a new video outlining the basic principles behind Decision Scaling, Adaptation Pathways, and CRIDA (below). This fun and short video uses a case study example to explain the tenants of these methodologies and how they can be used by water managers to face uncertainty.

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*To contact members of the CRIDA team, including the Editorial & Steering Committees, click here.

About AGWA

Founded in 2010, the Alliance for Global Water Adaptation (AGWA) is an informal network for water resources adaptation to climate change, focused on supporting experts, decision makers, and institutions within the water community to find common solutions for sustainable water resources management.

Contact AGWA

Alliance for Global Water Adaptation
7640 NW Hoodview Cir.
Corvallis, Oregon 97330